Bloomberg: U.S. Home Prices May Continue Decline for Three Years
The rising supply of homes for sale – including a “shadow inventory” of homes being sold as a result of homeowners who are in default or foreclosure – may continue to negatively affect U.S. home prices for another three years, according to a Bloomberg report.
Analysts from Moody’s Analytics, Fannie Mae, Morgan Stanley and Barclays agree that shadow inventory is preventing prices from bottoming out. Median home prices have dropped 28 percent since 2006 in the U.S.
Experts say that once prices bottom out, it will take three or four years for prices to consistently rise one to two percent a year – making a full equity recovery for many homeowners more than a decade away.
On Sept. 15, Fannie Mae lowered its 2010 forecast for home sales, and is now projecting a seven percent decline from 2009. A senior analyst from Moody’s estimates that approximately two million homes will be seized by lenders via foreclosure by the end of 2010, and predicts that this additional inventory will result in a price reduction of another five percent.
Fannie Mae reported earlier this month that seven million U.S. homes are vacant or in the foreclosure process. Florida is the second highest state in the nation for foreclosure filings.
Omni Hotels & Resorts was the successful bidder in the Chapter 11 auction of the Amelia Island Plantation just north of Jacksonville, and the hotel and resort operator says it plans to expand the facility.
Greg Gilbert
Keith Maynard